The Brain

How our model turns data into tips, and an honest scorecard of how it's doing. Every number below comes from tips logged before kickoff.

How a tip is made

1. 1DataFixtures, tables, odds, form, head to head and team news from a licensed provider, refreshed every 30 minutes.
2. 2ModelExpected goals for each side, then every scoreline with Poisson plus the Dixon-Coles draw correction.
3. 3Market blendOur chances blended with the bookmakers' prices, margin removed, so the model can't drift far from reality.
4. 4Tip pickerCompares our chance with the best price in every market and picks the biggest edge, leaning to likelier outcomes.
5. 5AI analystClaude reads the numbers and the context, writes the preview. The tip and the confidence score come from the model.
6. 6ScorekeeperEvery tip is logged before kickoff, settled after full time and fed back into this page.